Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Republicans Lack Enthusiasm for Candidates

In a recent poll conducted by ABC, only 43 percent of respondents "leaning republican" say they are happy with their choice of potential republican presidential candidates. Leaning republicans responded positively with 65 percent at this time in 2007.

In head-to-head polls with Obama, Romney is well ahead of other candidates. In the same ABC poll, he was measured four point behind Obama (49-45). Huckabee was six points behind (50-44), Trump at 12 points (52-40). Michelle Bachman, Tim Pawlenty, Newt Gingrich and Sarah Palin all faired even worse.

Between April 10-12, Democracy Corp (a group affiliated with the Democratic Party) polled 100 likely voters. In the survey 46 percent said they would likely vote for the incumbent President Obama, while 48 percent said they would vote for Mitt Romney. The sample is a solid reflection of the American public, with slightly higher education levels. It is worth noting 100 is a fairly small sample and most statisticians like to have between 250-300 in a random sample.

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